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RWE gets off to good start to the year and confirms earnings forecast for 2020

Essen, 14.05.2020

  • Strong growth in adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBIT and adjusted net income
  • Comfortable liquidity position, equity ratio of about 25%, stable rating
  • €5 billion net investment to expand wind and solar energy portfolio by over 4 GW by 2022


"RWE got off to a good start to the year. Thanks to our robust business model, we posted significant gains across all key earnings figures even in these challenging times. We confirm our earnings forecast and our dividend proposal of 85 cents per share for fiscal 2020. We are making good progress in expanding renewable energy and are consolidating our position as one of the world's leading renewable power providers. We are pursuing our goal of becoming carbon neutral by 2040. Our strategy is paying off: the new RWE is achieving profitable growth."

Markus Krebber, CFO of RWE AG

Good start despite worldwide corona crisis: RWE achieved adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation) of €1.3 billion in the first quarter of 2020. The pro-forma figure for last year's period was €1.1 billion. This represents an increase of about 19%. Adjusted EBIT also recorded a sharp rise, advancing to €955 million. The pro-forma figure in the first quarter of 2019 was €749 million. Adjusted net income totalled €603 million. On this basis, RWE confirms its outlook for 2020: adjusted EBITDA is expected to amount to between €2.7 billion and €3.0 billion, with adjusted EBIT totalling between €1.2 billion and €1.5 billion. The target set for adjusted net income is €850 million to €1.15 billion. RWE also maintains its plan to increase the dividend to €0.85 per share for the current fiscal year. As before, the Executive Board and the Supervisory Board will propose to the virtual Annual General Meeting on 26 June that a dividend of €0.80 will be paid for fiscal 2019.

Expansion of renewable energy progressing well

RWE intends to strengthen its position as one of the world's leading renewable energy companies. Management plans to make net investments of about €5 billion to grow the portfolio to over 13 gigawatts (GW) by 2022. Construction of the Triton Knoll offshore wind farm in the UK has been underway since January. The final investment decision for the German North Sea project Kaskasi was reached in April. Both of these wind farms are scheduled to start producing electricity in 2022. In its quest to tap deeper into the Asian offshore wind market, RWE has joined forces with a strategic partner to plan a project of up to 448 megawatts (MW) off the north-western coast of Taiwan. In the USA, RWE recently commissioned its 24th onshore wind farm: Peyton Creek with a net installed capacity of 151 MW. And in Germany, construction work has begun for the Jüchen co-operative wind farm (27 MW), which is being built on recultivated land at the Garzweiler opencast mine.

Stable operating activities thanks to robust business model

In fiscal 2020, RWE started aligning its financial reporting with the company's new strategic focus. Therefore, RWE is reporting its business performance based on a new structure. The core business is made up of four segments: Offshore Wind, Onshore Wind/Solar, Hydro/Biomass/Gas and Supply & Trading. This is where RWE intends to grow. The core business is complemented by the fifth segment, Coal/Nuclear.

Offshore Wind: Above-average wind conditions enable substantial gain

Adjusted EBITDA recorded in the Offshore Wind segment jumped to €431 million in the first quarter of 2020. This compares to the pro-forma €329 million achieved in the same period last year. The growth of over 30% primarily stemmed from higher wind levels. RWE expects this segment to close the current year with adjusted EBITDA of between €900 million and €1.1 billion.

Onshore Wind/Solar: Very good result due to new capacity and favourable weather conditions

The Onshore Wind/Solar segment also posted a significant rise, with adjusted EBITDA jumping by about 20% to €209 million from the €174 million pro-forma figure in the first quarter of 2019. Two factors were the main drivers of this growth: favourable weather conditions as well as the commissioning of new generation capacity. RWE anticipates adjusted EBITDA of 
€500 million to €600 million for this segment in the year underway.

Hydro/Biomass/Gas: Strong gain in a volatile environment

Business in the Hydro/Biomass/Gas segment displayed encouraging development. In the first quarter of the current fiscal year, adjusted EBITDA amounted to €217 million as opposed to €112 million in last year's comparable period. Higher income from the optimisation of power plant dispatch was the main reason. In addition, the British capacity market was reinstated.

€42 million in capacity payments were awarded for the first quarter of 2020, whereas in the same period last year, payments were suspended due to a review conducted by the European institutions. RWE expects the segment to achieve adjusted EBITDA of between €550 million and €650 million for the full year.

Supply & Trading: Good business performance despite market turmoil

Despite the turmoil on the commodity markets caused by the corona crisis, business in the Supply & Trading segment displayed very satisfactory development. Adjusted EBITDA totalled €170 million. The pro-forma figure for the exceptional corresponding quarter last year was €271 million. The segment's adjusted EBITDA target for the 2020 fiscal year is €250 million, which corresponds to the historic average.

In sum, RWE recorded in its core business adjusted EBITDA of €1.0 billion in the first quarter of 2020. This represents an increase of about 16% compared to the pro-forma figure for the same period in 2019. In the year underway, RWE aims to post adjusted EBITDA of between €2.15 billion and €2.45 billion.

Coal/Nuclear: Improved operating performance due to higher realised electricity prices

This is the segment in which the company pools its coal and nuclear activities. These technologies follow exit paths established by the government, as a result of which plant dismantling and opencast mine recultivation will gain importance relative to power production. To achieve its goal of being carbon neutral by 2040, RWE is resolutely and responsibly phasing out electricity generation from coal. From 2012 to 2019, the company reduced its annual carbon dioxide emissions by 90 million metric tons. This year, RWE shut down its last coal-fired power plant in the United Kingdom, and the company is spurring conversion to biomass in the Netherlands. The parliamentary procedure regarding Germany's coal phaseout is set to be completed before the summer. The first closure of a power plant block is scheduled for as early as December. RWE intends to work with the federal and state government to implement this agreement and negotiate a suitable public-law contract with the German government.

In operating terms, the Coal/Nuclear segment fared better than a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to €282 million, as opposed to €210 million on a pro-forma basis in the first quarter of 2019. The rise was primarily due to the realisation of higher wholesale prices. Nearly all the generation from these stations was sold forward in earlier years. RWE expects this segment to achieve adjusted EBITDA of between €500 million and €600 million for the full year.

Solid financial position: Good liquidity, equity ratio around 25%

The equity ratio was essentially unchanged compared to the end of 2019. As of 31 March 2020, it was still at a solid 25.2% (31 December 2019: 27.2%). The company's liquidity position is also comfortable. RWE is not making use of state financial aid or putting staff on short-time work.

Net debt rose by €1.7 billion to €8.7 billion largely due to timing effects of hedging transactions. The realisation of these transactions, for which RWE received variation margins in the last few years, and payments for collateral owing to the drop in commodity prices resulted in substantial cash outflows. In addition, there was an increased need for liquidity throughout the first quarter as a result of purchases of CO2 certificates for the previous year. The rating agency Moody's changed its outlook for RWE to positive, and Fitch confirmed its rating with a stable outlook during the corona crisis. 



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